Are Grouper Eating Invasive Lionfish?

ResearchBlogging.orgA short but provocative study just came out in the open-access journal PLoS ONE. As readers may or may not be aware, the Caribbean Sea has seen an invasion of lionfish over the past five to ten years. No one is sure where they came from, but they more than likely escaped from aquaria in Florida and have since been spreading. Lionfish are problematic, since they are voracious eaters of smaller fish, including juveniles of many commercially and recreationally important species, and are not restricted to just one type of habitat. They also don’t seem to have any natural predators in the Caribbean, a fact that may have something to do with their foot-long poisonous spines. Worse, we don’t even have a good idea of what controls their populations in the eastern tropical Pacific, whence they originally came.

The researchers here found suggestive evidence that large groupers might be capable of controlling lionfish populations. They compared the biomass of lionfish and groupers at 12 reef sites in the central Bahamas. Five of the sites were in a marine park where fishing is verboten, and where, as a consequence, groupers are an order of magnitude more abundant than in most of the Caribbean. They found that these protected sites had a much lower lionfish biomass.

All the standard caveats apply…correlation is not causation, small geographic area, etc. It is interesting, though, in the context of theory that suggests invasions are more likely into disturbed ecosystems. As a practical approach to lionfish management, groupers are not ideal, at least not at the moment, and the authors acknowledge as much. Based on these results, grouper densities outside of protected areas aren’t enough to have much effect on lionfish. In the absence of greatly expanded protected areas, or significant changes to grouper fisheries and management, our best bet for biocontrol is to do it ourselves. Fluffy battered lionfish, anyone?

Peter J. Mumby, Alastair R. Harborne, Daniel R. Brumbaugh (2011). Grouper as a Natural Biocontrol of Invasive Lionfish PLoS ONE, 6 (6) : doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0021510

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Rossby Waves

I was reading a paper recently that mentioned Rossby waves. I had vague memories of learning about these things when I took Physical Oceanography as an undergrad, but that was a was five years ago, and I didn’t really understand them then anyway, so I went and looked them up. I hadn’t remembered how cool they are. I felt the need to share that coolness with the internet, but the standard presentation of Rossby waves is pretty math heavy. So I’ve tried to explain them here without a single equation, heeding Einstein’s advice that “If you can’t explain something simply, you don’t understand it well enough.” Let me know how I did, and I’ll try to answer any questions in the comments. Ahem.

Oceanic Rossby waves are radically different from the surface waves we are all familiar with (i.e., the ones that enable fun activities like surfing and seasickness). They are huge, stretching for hundreds of kilometers horizontally. They travel only from east to west across the oceans–open-ocean Rossby waves are physically incapable of traveling in the opposite direction. They cause water to meander in wide loops north and south, but only move the surface of the ocean up or down a few centimeters. They routinely cross entire ocean basins, but take their sweet time doing it: a Rossby wave starting on the West Coast of the US might take ten years to reach Japan.

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I’m back from the land of the ice and snow…

…of the midnight sun where the hot springs blow…

Near Buðir, Snæfellsness, Iceland

Okay, so I haven’t actually been in Iceland for the past seven weeks, and it wasn’t actually that icy or snowy. I spent a week and a half there, attending the annual meeting of the ICES Fisheries Acoustics Working Group, and then doing some sightseeing. Followed by a few days at home for my little bro’s college graduation, followed by the Acoustical Society of America’s conference here in Seattle, followed by a week of frantic revisions to a paper I’m trying to wrap up, followed by a brief trip into the field on Puget Sound…

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Anna Coogan Sings the Blues

For those of you out there with the Sunday blues. Anna Coogan is a friend and fellow fish biologist at the UW, and she has a talent for writing some of those songs that can just wreck you.

Anna is moving soon from Seattle to Ithaca, New York. Google Analytics tells me I have at least a few loyal readers upstate. So let me make a recommendation to you folks—keep your eyes peeled for upcoming performances, and when you see them, run, don’t walk, to the door. For those in Seattle, she’ll be at the Northwest Folklife Festival May 28.

I’ll be traveling the next couple of weeks, first to Iceland (!) for a meeting of the ICES fisheries acoustics working group, and then home to the East Coast for my little bro’s college graduation, so posting may be sparse. I’ll sign off with a question: if I’m offered hákarl in Iceland…do I eat it?

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“Now I am become death, destroyer of worlds.”

Yesterday, The Atlantic ran a series of photos of atmospheric nuclear tests, including one taken 25 milliseconds after the detonation of the first atomic bomb on the morning of July 16, 1945 near Alamogordo, New Mexico.

The Trinity Test, the first explosion of an atomic bomb. Click through to the photo essay at The Atlantic.

J. Robert Oppenheimer, the American physicist who directed the Manhattan Project, said that he remembered a line that morning from the 11th chapter of the Bhagavad Gita, when Krishna reveals his true universal form, brilliant and terrible: Now I am become death, destroyer of worlds.

As it happens, I’m working my way through “American Prometheus” by Kai Bird and Martin J. Sherwin, their voluminous biography of Oppenheimer. It’s an absolutely fascinating read, both for the chance to see physics going through a scientific revolution and getting caught at the crossroads of history, and to get to know Oppenheimer himself.

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A Very Short Introduction to Time Series

Last week, I gave a presentation on the basics of time series statistics to an informal group of students in biology, forestry, and fisheries who meet every week to share tips and talk over problems involving statistics and R. A time series is just a sequence of observations recorded at regular intervals, one after another. The basic motivation behind time series statistical techniques is the fact that the observations making up a time series usually violate the assumption of independence that underlies most of traditional statistics. Instead of being uncorrelated, they are related to each other, or autocorrelated: what has happened before affects what will happen in the future. Time series models are intended to incorporate this autocorrelation, making it possible to understand the process underlying a time series, and to forecast its future values.

I got a good response to the talk, so I’ve decided to post my slides here, along with an R script including a series of short examples that dovetail with the presentation. I have used a number of these techniques in my own research, and mostly had to teach myself; this presentation is essentially an overview of everything I wish I’d known before I started reading seriously about time series. I’ll emphasize that this is a very cursory overview of an immense field of statistical research and techniques. There’s only so much ground you can cover in a one-hour seminar. The last slide has a list of the books I’ve been working out of for further reading.

Slides [PDF]

R script with examples

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What Does A Migration Look Like?

Every afternoon at about three, my officemate puts on her coat, picks up her binoculars, and walks down to Sakuma Viewpoint, a little patch of park across the street from our building on Portage Bay, to do a five-minute survey of all the birds in sight. She is what you might call a bird nerd—her research is on seabirds, and when she needs a break from her research, she goes outside and counts them for fun. Every so often, I join her, to get a breath of fresh air and remind myself how little I actually know about birds.

These short surveys are part of a larger project, run by the Audubon Society and the Cornell Lab of Ornithology, called eBird. Birdwatchers from all over the country do their own short surveys and send in their sightings electronically. What good are a motley assortment of observations, neither fully random nor systematic in design, made by a bunch of amateurs? Turns out, when done on a continental scale and stitched together with some geostatistical wizardry, a whole lot. Sightings made by eBird’s network of citizen scientists, coupled with geographical and climatological knowledge, allow the scientists at Cornell to produce truly spectacular maps of bird migrations across the United States.

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DIY Scale Dependence

What’s the big deal about “scale?” It’s a word that I’ve written about before here, and one that certain types of ecologists can’t seem to stop talking about. But it can be an infuratingly vague word to pin down, given that it can have more than one meaning, even in technical usage. And the fact that scale-dependent thinking is applicable to such a staggeringly wide range of phenomena, while a testament to its relevance, hardly helps in nailing down what it means. As a grad-student friend of mine, no slouch when it comes to quantitative reasoning, asked me recently, “What’s the deal with ‘scale?’ It all just seems kinda theoretical to me.”

Let’s take a concrete example. Say you’re interested in how seabirds forage for small fish, and so you put small GPS recorders on some birds which record their position every second. Examining the tracks, one of them looks like this:
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Beaked Whales and Naval Sonar: What’s Going On?

ResearchBlogging.org
There have been huge fights in the past decade over Naval sub-hunting sonar and its effects on certain species of whales. In several cases, mass strandings of marine mammals have occurred shortly after naval exercises where mid-frequency active (MFA) sonar was used. There is particularly strong evidence that several strandings of beaked whales—a family of small whales that look a bit like oversized dolphins—were associated with naval exercises involving mid-frequency sonar.

Baird's beaked whales in the Bahamas.

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Shades of Grey

I’m halfway through my second winter here in the Pacific Northwest, and, strange as it sounds, I’m starting to love the weather. It’s true that it’s all grey and damp. But there are so many different shades and textures of grey in the sky and water, and some of them are truly beautiful. I was trying to explain this to my cousin Allie, who was visiting last weekend from Boston. I’m not sure she bought it.

On Friday, after sandwiches at Paseo in Ballard, we went to Discovery Park, overlooking Puget Sound at the west end of the city. The day was shifting from clouds to rain, and in the two hours we spent there, the sky went through several transformations that seemed subtle only if you weren’t paying attention to them.

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